Hunter Henry Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Hunter Henry

NFL · Player Props

Hunter Henry

TE · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 24, 2022 11:36 PM EST

Analysis

Hunter Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (+104/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Hunter Henry to accrue 3.6 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile among TEs.
The New England Patriots offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
Hunter Henry's talent in picking up extra yardage have been refined this season, notching 6.08 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs just 2.48 mark last season.
The Chicago Bears defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Patriots are a massive 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 53.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the least total plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New England Patriots have run the 8th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 55.7 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 28.8 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the league.

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