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Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

New England Patriots vs Detroit Lions

Hunter Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New England Patriots will be forced to use backup quarterback Bailey Zappe in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

Opposing offenses have averaged 40.2 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.

THE BLITZ projects Hunter Henry to earn 4.2 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 80th percentile among tight ends.

THE BLITZ projects Hunter Henry to be a more integral piece of his offense's pass game this week (14.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (7.9% in games he has played).

The New England Patriots offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Patriots are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the 3rd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 52.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the 5th-most sluggish paced defense in football (context-neutralized) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 29.07 seconds per play.

The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

Hunter Henry has totaled quite a few less air yards this year (19.0 per game) than he did last year (46.0 per game).

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