Hunter Henry Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Hunter Henry

TE · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

New England Patriots vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Hunter Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing QBs have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Hunter Henry to total 4.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 86th percentile among tight ends.
Hunter Henry has accumulated a whopping 43.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 91st percentile among TEs.
Hunter Henry's 32.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the league leaders: 87th percentile for TEs.
Hunter Henry has been among the top tight ends in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 34.0 yards per game while checking in at the 81st percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the 2nd-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 57.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New England Patriots have run the 5th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 60.6 plays per game.
Hunter Henry has been among the weakest tight ends in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a measly 2.87 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 4th percentile.
The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (69.1%) to TEs since the start of last season (69.1%).
The New England Patriots O-line has allowed their QB just 2.53 seconds before the pass (8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.