Hunter Henry Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Hunter Henry

NFL · Player Props

Hunter Henry

TE · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Hunter Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-106/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 5th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Hunter Henry to accumulate 4.2 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 81st percentile among tight ends.
Hunter Henry's pass-catching efficiency has gotten better this season, notching 9.55 yards-per-target vs just 8.52 figure last season.
Hunter Henry's talent in grinding out extra yardage have improved this year, notching 6.54 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 2.43 rate last year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-least plays run among all games this week at 127.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New England Patriots have run the 4th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 53.9 plays per game.
Hunter Henry has accumulated significantly fewer air yards this season (27.0 per game) than he did last season (46.0 per game).
Hunter Henry's 25.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 34.8.
Hunter Henry has totaled significantly fewer receiving yards per game (30.0) this year than he did last year (39.0).

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