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Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Hunter Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-106/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -129.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 5th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Hunter Henry to accumulate 4.2 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 81st percentile among tight ends.
  • Hunter Henry's pass-catching efficiency has gotten better this season, notching 9.55 yards-per-target vs just 8.52 figure last season.
  • Hunter Henry's talent in grinding out extra yardage have improved this year, notching 6.54 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 2.43 rate last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-least plays run among all games this week at 127.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The New England Patriots have run the 4th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 53.9 plays per game.
  • Hunter Henry has accumulated significantly fewer air yards this season (27.0 per game) than he did last season (46.0 per game).
  • Hunter Henry's 25.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 34.8.
  • Hunter Henry has totaled significantly fewer receiving yards per game (30.0) this year than he did last year (39.0).

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