Hunter Henry Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Hunter Henry

NFL · Player Props

Hunter Henry

TE · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs New England Patriots · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 13, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Hunter Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 4th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
THE BLITZ projects Hunter Henry to garner 4.8 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 84th percentile among TEs.
Hunter Henry has been among the most efficient pass-catchers in the NFL among tight ends, averaging a terrific 8.79 yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 80th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 60.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New England Patriots have called the least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 54.3 plays per game.
Hunter Henry has compiled quite a few less air yards this year (26.0 per game) than he did last year (46.0 per game).
Hunter Henry's 24.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 34.8.
Hunter Henry has posted quite a few less receiving yards per game (28.0) this season than he did last season (39.0).

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