Hunter Henry Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Hunter Henry

NFL · Player Props

Hunter Henry

TE · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs New England Patriots · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 25, 2022 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Hunter Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Hunter Henry to total 3.8 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile among TEs.
Hunter Henry's receiving reliability have improved this year, with his Completion% rising from 69.6% to 73.3%.
Hunter Henry has been among the most effective receivers in football among TEs, averaging a terrific 9.31 yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 87th percentile.

Favors Under

The New England Patriots have run the 6th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.6 plays per game.
Hunter Henry has posted significantly fewer air yards this season (23.0 per game) than he did last season (46.0 per game).
Hunter Henry's 23.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 35.1.
Hunter Henry has put up many fewer receiving yards per game (26.0) this season than he did last season (37.0).
The New England Patriots offensive line has afforded their quarterback a mere 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.

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