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Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 8

New York Jets vs New England Patriots

Hunter Henry Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+359/-709).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -690 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -709.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Hunter Henry has been a key part of his team's passing attack near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 19.0% this year, which places him in the 91st percentile among TEs.

The New England Patriots offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

The New York Jets linebackers project as the worst LB corps in the NFL this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

The New England Patriots have been faced with a stacked the box on 27.7% of their plays since the start of last season, most in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Patriots are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 10th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 53.6 plays per game.

Hunter Henry has notched quite a few less air yards this year (29.0 per game) than he did last year (46.0 per game).

Hunter Henry's 28.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 35.1.

More Hunter Henry Player Props

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