My Account Log Out

reorder

Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 5

New England Patriots vs Detroit Lions

Hunter Henry Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+401/-858).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -786 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -858.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 40.2 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.

Hunter Henry has been a key part of his team's pass game near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 15.4% this year, which ranks in the 87th percentile among tight ends.

The New England Patriots offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

The Detroit Lions defense has given up the 3rd-most passing touchdowns in the league to TEs: 0.75 per game this year.

The Detroit Lions linebackers rank as the 8th-worst LB corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Patriots are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the 5th-most sluggish paced defense in football (context-neutralized) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 29.07 seconds per play.

The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

Hunter Henry has totaled quite a few less air yards this year (19.0 per game) than he did last year (46.0 per game).

Hunter Henry's 16.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 35.1.

More Hunter Henry Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™