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Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 2

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Hunter Henry Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+224/-363).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +307 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +224.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Hunter Henry has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 22.5% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 94th percentile among tight ends.
  • Hunter Henry has accumulated a colossal 46.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 91st percentile among tight ends.
  • Hunter Henry's 34.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 88th percentile for tight ends.
  • Hunter Henry ranks in the 100th percentile among tight ends as it relates to catching TDs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 0.50 per game.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties grade out as the 9th-worst unit in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Patriots are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 121.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The New England Patriots have called the 5th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling just 60.3 plays per game.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has given up the 3rd-least touchdowns through the air in the league to tight ends: 0.22 per game since the start of last season.
  • The New England Patriots offensive line has afforded their QB a mere 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

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