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Hayden Hurst

Hayden Hurst Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Cincinnati Bengals vs Atlanta Falcons

Hayden Hurst Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+106/-139).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -139.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 66.1% pass rate.

Opposing offenses have averaged 42.3 pass attempts per game versus the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.

Hayden Hurst has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (74.7% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (44.9%).

THE BLITZ projects Hayden Hurst to total 4.7 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile among TEs.

Hayden Hurst's play as a receiver has improved this year, compiling 3.8 yards per game compared to a mere 2.1 last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals offense as the 4th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.60 seconds per play.

The Cincinnati Bengals O-line ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

The Atlanta Falcons safeties grade out as the 8th-best safety corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line has allowed their QB a measly 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game stats across the board.

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