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Hayden Hurst

Hayden Hurst Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

New Orleans Saints vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Hayden Hurst Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-160/+130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Hayden Hurst has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (75.0% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (44.9%).
  • THE BLITZ projects Hayden Hurst to accrue 5.3 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 88th percentile among tight ends.
  • Hayden Hurst's receiving performance has gotten a boost this season, notching 4.0 yards per game vs a mere 2.1 last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bengals are a 3-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals offense as the 7th-worst paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.51 seconds per play.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game versus the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • The New Orleans Saints pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the league (51.7%) to TEs this year (51.7%).

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