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Hayden Hurst

Hayden Hurst Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Hayden Hurst Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-170/+140).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 8th-most pass-heavy team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 63.8% pass rate.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game against the Miami Dolphins defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the league.
  • Hayden Hurst has gone out for fewer passes this year (73.4% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (44.9%).
  • THE BLITZ projects Hayden Hurst to accrue 4.1 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 79th percentile among TEs.
  • The Miami Dolphins pass defense has allowed the 3rd-highest Completion% in the NFL (80.5%) to TEs this year (80.5%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bengals are a 4-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 120.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • Hayden Hurst's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 80.1% to 74.5%.
  • The Miami Dolphins safeties rank as the 5th-best collection of safeties in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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