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Hayden Hurst

Hayden Hurst Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Hayden Hurst Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-173/+128).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 66.8% pass rate.

The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 61.3 plays per game.

Opposing QBs have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 8th-most in football.

Hayden Hurst has run fewer routes this year (73.9% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (44.9%).

THE BLITZ projects Hayden Hurst to accrue 5.5 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 86th percentile among TEs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals are a huge 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has conceded the 9th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (69.3%) versus TEs this year (69.3%).

The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties profile as the 8th-best unit in the league this year in covering receivers.

The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line has allowed their quarterback a mere 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing game stats across the board.

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