Hayden Hurst Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Hayden Hurst

NFL · Player Props

Hayden Hurst

TE · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Carolina Panthers · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 9:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Hayden Hurst Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 8th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 61.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.2 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game versus the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 10th-most in the league.
Hayden Hurst has been less involved as a potential target this year (74.7% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (44.9%).
THE BLITZ projects Hayden Hurst to total 5.7 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 88th percentile among tight ends.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-least plays run out of all the games this week at 125.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Hayden Hurst has been among the weakest TEs in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a measly 3.18 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 21st percentile.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing TEs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.63 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-least in football.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line has allowed their QB a mere 2.49 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.

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