Hayden Hurst Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Hayden Hurst

NFL · Player Props

Hayden Hurst

TE · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 8, 2022

Updated Nov 1, 2022 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Hayden Hurst Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 38.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 67.3% pass rate.
The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 64.6 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Hayden Hurst has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (74.7% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (44.9%).
THE BLITZ projects Hayden Hurst to garner 5.7 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile among TEs.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense this year: least in the league.
Hayden Hurst has been among the weakest tight ends in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging just 3.24 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 20th percentile.
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has allowed the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the league (56.4%) to TEs this year (56.4%).

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