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Hayden Hurst

Hayden Hurst Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals

Hayden Hurst Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (+100/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bengals are a 5.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 67.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Hayden Hurst has gone out for fewer passes this season (71.5% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (44.9%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cincinnati Bengals O-line profiles as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

The Buffalo Bills defense has given up the 2nd-least receiving yards per game in football (just 32.0) to TEs this year.

The Buffalo Bills pass defense has displayed strong efficiency against tight ends this year, conceding 5.30 yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-least in the NFL.

The Buffalo Bills linebackers project as the best collection of LBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line has afforded their QB a measly 2.49 seconds before the pass (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

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