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Hayden Hurst

Hayden Hurst Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Dallas Cowboys vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Hayden Hurst Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 10th-most pass-heavy team in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 63.2% pass rate.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league.
  • Hayden Hurst has put up a colossal 21.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 75th percentile among tight ends.
  • The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 6.28 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 3rd-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace on the slate this week, averaging 27.26 seconds per play given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • Hayden Hurst has been among the weakest TEs in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging a measly 3.42 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 17th percentile.
  • The Dallas Cowboys safeties grade out as the 8th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line has allowed their quarterback a measly 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

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