Hayden Hurst Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Hayden Hurst

NFL · Player Props

Hayden Hurst

TE · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 27, 2022 8:36 PM EST

Analysis

Hayden Hurst Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 6th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 60.9 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 40.8 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in football.
Hayden Hurst has been less involved as a potential target this year (74.4% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (44.9%).
THE BLITZ projects Hayden Hurst to total 5.4 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 89th percentile among TEs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line grades out as the 8th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
Hayden Hurst has been among the bottom TEs in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a mere 3.35 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 16th percentile.
The Tennessee Titans safeties profile as the 4th-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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