Hayden Hurst Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Hayden Hurst

NFL · Player Props

Hayden Hurst

TE · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving TD

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 10, 2022 12:05 AM UTC

Analysis

Hayden Hurst Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+313/-570).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +340 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +313.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bengals are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 71.8 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 45.0 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
Hayden Hurst has been a key part of his team's passing offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 13.0% this year, which puts him in the 76th percentile among TEs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to call the least total plays among all teams this week with 60.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
Hayden Hurst's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Completion% falling off from 80.1% to 74.0%.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the 8th-best safety corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line has afforded their QB just 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

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