Hayden Hurst Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Hayden Hurst

NFL · Player Props

Hayden Hurst

TE · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving TD

Dallas Cowboys vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 8:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Hayden Hurst Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+350/-550).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league.
Hayden Hurst has been a key part of his team's passing attack near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 15.4% this year, which places him in the 75th percentile among tight ends.
Hayden Hurst has put up a colossal 21.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 75th percentile among tight ends.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a huge 7.5-point favorite in this game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace on the slate this week, averaging 27.26 seconds per play given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
The Dallas Cowboys safeties grade out as the 8th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line has allowed their quarterback a measly 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

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