Harrison Bryant Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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NFL · Player Props

Harrison Bryant

TE · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs New Orleans Saints · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 24, 2022 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Harrison Bryant Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+106/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -131 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 2nd-quickest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.10 seconds per snap.
Harrison Bryant has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (43.8% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (27.8%).
The Cleveland Browns O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
The Cleveland Browns offensive line has afforded their QB 2.54 seconds before getting pressured (8th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
The New Orleans Saints defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.55 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 4th-most sluggish in the league since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Browns are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 5th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 46.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather report calls for 26-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
Harrison Bryant's ball-catching skills have declined this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 77.5% to 73.6%.
Harrison Bryant's pass-game efficiency has declined this year, accumulating a measly 5.59 yards-per-target vs a 8.53 figure last year.