Harrison Bryant Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Harrison Bryant

NFL · Player Props

Harrison Bryant

TE · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 12, 2022 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Harrison Bryant Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns are a massive 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 62.1 plays per game.
Harrison Bryant has been used less as a potential target this season (48.5% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (27.8%).
The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has allowed the 7th-highest Completion% in the league (76.8%) versus tight ends this year (76.8%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 52.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to run the 7th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Harrison Bryant's sure-handedness have declined this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 77.5% to 71.3%.
Harrison Bryant's receiving efficiency has tailed off this season, averaging a mere 5.46 yards-per-target compared to a 8.53 rate last season.
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers rank as the 5th-best unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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