Harrison Bryant Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Harrison Bryant

NFL · Player Props

Harrison Bryant

TE · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Cleveland Browns · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 20, 2022 6:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Harrison Bryant Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Harrison Bryant has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (48.9% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (28.0%).
The Cleveland Browns offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
The Cleveland Browns offensive line has given their QB 2.54 seconds before getting pressured (8th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 56.3% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 29.10 seconds per play.
Harrison Bryant's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 77.5% to 71.5%.
Harrison Bryant's receiving efficiency has tailed off this year, averaging a mere 5.43 yards-per-target vs a 8.54 rate last year.
Harrison Bryant has been among the bottom TEs in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging just 3.24 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 19th percentile.

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