Harrison Bryant Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Harrison Bryant

NFL · Player Props

Harrison Bryant

TE · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Cleveland Browns · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 14, 2022 3:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Harrison Bryant Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
The Cleveland Browns have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 62.4 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Harrison Bryant has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (45.1% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (28.0%).
THE BLITZ projects Harrison Bryant to garner 3.6 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 78th percentile among tight ends.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 9th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Harrison Bryant's possession skills have declined this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 77.5% to 67.5%.
Harrison Bryant's pass-catching effectiveness has diminished this year, notching a mere 5.29 yards-per-target compared to a 8.54 figure last year.
Harrison Bryant has been among the weakest TEs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging just 3.14 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 17th percentile.

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