Harrison Bryant Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

NFL · Player Props

Harrison Bryant

TE · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Cleveland Browns · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 12, 2022 3:04 AM UTC

Analysis

Harrison Bryant Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-121).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns will be rolling with backup quarterback Jacoby Brissett this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Cleveland Browns offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
Harrison Bryant has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL among TEs, catching an impressive 77.6% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 75th percentile.
Harrison Bryant has been among the most efficient receivers in football among TEs, averaging an impressive 8.53 yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 81st percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 55.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 4th-worst paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 28.42 seconds per snap.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-least in football.
Harrison Bryant has been among the bottom TEs in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a measly 3.57 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 20th percentile.
The Carolina Panthers defense has yielded the 7th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 38.0) vs. TEs since the start of last season.