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Gus Edwards

Gus Edwards Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Baltimore Ravens vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Gus Edwards Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 55.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 50.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 5.5 points.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Ravens to run on 49.8% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The model projects Gus Edwards to accrue 16.5 rush attempts this week, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile among running backs.
  • While Gus Edwards has accounted for 39.4% of his offense's rushing play calls in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Baltimore's rushing attack in this contest at 50.2%.
  • Gus Edwards has averaged 54.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest figures in football when it comes to RBs (82nd percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Baltimore Ravens feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to tilt 3.2% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • At the moment, the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Ravens.
  • This year, the anemic Seahawks run defense has allowed a staggering 3.51 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposing run game: the 31st-worst rate in the league.
  • As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Seattle's LB corps has been tremendous this year, ranking as the 6th-best in football.

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