Gus Edwards Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Gus Edwards

NFL · Player Props

Gus Edwards

RB · Baltimore Ravens

Rushing Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 12:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Gus Edwards Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 55.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 50.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 5.5 points.
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Ravens to run on 49.8% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
The model projects Gus Edwards to accrue 16.5 rush attempts this week, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile among running backs.
While Gus Edwards has accounted for 39.4% of his offense's rushing play calls in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Baltimore's rushing attack in this contest at 50.2%.
Gus Edwards has averaged 54.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest figures in football when it comes to RBs (82nd percentile).

Favors Under

The Baltimore Ravens feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to tilt 3.2% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
At the moment, the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Ravens.
This year, the anemic Seahawks run defense has allowed a staggering 3.51 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposing run game: the 31st-worst rate in the league.
As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Seattle's LB corps has been tremendous this year, ranking as the 6th-best in football.

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