Gus Edwards Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Gus Edwards

NFL · Player Props

Gus Edwards

RB · Baltimore Ravens

Rushing Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 11:11 PM EST

Analysis

Gus Edwards Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 57.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 58.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 9.5-point advantage, the Ravens are a huge favorite this week, implying much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens to run on 48.2% of their downs: the 2nd-highest clip among all teams this week.
The projections expect Gus Edwards to accumulate 13.2 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 78th percentile among RBs.
Gus Edwards has received 35.6% of his offense's rushing play calls this year, placing him in the 75th percentile when it comes to running backs.
With a fantastic total of 49.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (76th percentile), Gus Edwards has been as one of the leading running backs in the NFL this year.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Ravens offensive blueprint to lean 3.2% more towards the passing attack than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Todd Monken now calling the plays.
The model projects the Ravens offense to be the 6th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.13 seconds per snap.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Gus Edwards's rushing effectiveness has tailed off this season, totaling just 3.98 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 4.84 rate last season.
Gus Edwards has been less successful in picking up extra running yardage this year, averaging 2.57 yards-after-contact compared to a 3.64 rate last year.

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