Gus Edwards Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Gus Edwards

NFL · Player Props

Gus Edwards

RB · Baltimore Ravens

Rushing Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Gus Edwards Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-108/-127).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 41.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 42.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored this week, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their normal game plan.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to run on 48.2% of their chances: the 3rd-highest rate on the slate this week.
Out of all RBs, Gus Edwards grades out in the 77th percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 33.5% of the workload in his team's run game.
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Tennessee's DE corps has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Baltimore Ravens have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 2.3% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are expected by our trusted projection set to run only 63.2 total plays in this contest: the 10th-fewest among all teams this week.
Gus Edwards's 4.1 adjusted yards per carry this year represents a a material drop-off in his running proficiency over last year's 4.8 rate.
This year, the anemic Tennessee Titans run defense has surrendered a massive 3.89 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's running game: the 22nd-biggest rate in the NFL.

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