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Gus Edwards

Gus Edwards Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

Gus Edwards Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread implies a running game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 4.5 points.

The model projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.3% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect the Ravens to run the 3rd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

In this week's contest, Gus Edwards is predicted by the predictive model to slot into the 78th percentile among running backs with 13.2 rush attempts.

With a remarkable tally of 45.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (76th percentile), Gus Edwards has been among the best pure rushers in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 1.7% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).

Gus Edwards has been a much bigger part of his team's offense this year, staying on the field for 44.2% of snaps vs just 26.4% last year.

Gus Edwards's 2.52 yards-after-contact this season marks a a material reduction in his rushing skills over last season's 3.64 mark.

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