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Gus Edwards
NFL · Player Props
Gus Edwards
RB · Baltimore Ravens
Rushing Yards
Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 2, 2023 Updated Sep 17, 2023 5:06 PM UTC
NFL Props Gus Edwards Rushing Yards

Gus Edwards Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 37.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -106.

Favors Over
  • The Ravens have been the 7th-most run-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 44.9% run rate.
  • Gus Edwards's running effectiveness (4.74 yards per carry) has been some of the best in football since the start of last season (75th percentile among running backs).
  • Gus Edwards has been among the top RBs in the NFL at generating extra ground yardage, averaging an impressive 3.54 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while ranking in the 89th percentile.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the worst group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.
Favors Under
  • The Baltimore Ravens boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.4% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • The Ravens are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 6th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 29.22 seconds per snap.
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses have run for the 6th-least yards in the league (just 106 per game) against the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season.
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