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Gus Edwards

Gus Edwards Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Rams

Gus Edwards Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 37.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 36.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread suggests an extreme rushing game script for the Ravens, who are a huge favorite by 7.5 points.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to run on 52.0% of their downs: the highest rate on the slate this week.

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Ravens are expected by the projection model to run 66.7 total plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.

With a terrific record of 52.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (79th percentile), Gus Edwards stands among the leading pure runners in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 3.5% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

Gus Edwards has been a more important option in his team's offense this season, playing on 42.8% of snaps compared to just 26.4% last season.

The Los Angeles defensive tackles project as the 5th-best group of DTs in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

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