Gus Edwards Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Gus Edwards

NFL · Player Props

Gus Edwards

RB · Baltimore Ravens

Rushing Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 2, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Gus Edwards Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-160/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 44.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 44.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 4th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 49.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Gus Edwards has picked up 57.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the highest marks in the league among RBs (78th percentile).
Gus Edwards's rushing effectiveness (5.05 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league this year (83rd percentile among running backs).
Gus Edwards has been among the best RBs in the league at picking up extra rushing yardage, averaging a terrific 3.78 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 91st percentile.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defensive tackles profile as the worst DT corps in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-least plays run among all games this week at 124.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has had the 7th-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, allowing just 4.27 yards-per-carry.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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