Gus Edwards Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Gus Edwards

NFL · Player Props

Gus Edwards

RB · Baltimore Ravens

Rushing Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 5:26 PM EST

Analysis

Gus Edwards Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (+109/-144).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -144.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 7th-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 47.1% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Gus Edwards has generated 50.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest figures in the NFL among running backs (79th percentile).
Gus Edwards has been among the leading RBs in football at grinding out extra ground yardage, averaging a stellar 3.27 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 77th percentile.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defensive tackles grade out as the worst DT corps in the NFL this year with their run defense.

Favors Under

The Baltimore Ravens will be forced to use backup QB Tyler Huntley in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
THE BLITZ projects the Ravens to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Gus Edwards to be a much smaller piece of his offense's run game this week (25.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (40.2% in games he has played).
The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has produced the 7th-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, conceding just 4.32 yards-per-carry.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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