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Gus Edwards

Gus Edwards Receptions
Player Prop Week 21

Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs

Gus Edwards Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-165/+135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to have 133.4 plays on offense run: the highest number among all games this week.

Gus Edwards has been more involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (26.0% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (9.6%).

The Baltimore Ravens O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

With a remarkable 92.0% Adjusted Catch% (76th percentile) this year, Gus Edwards stands as one of the best possession receivers in the NFL among running backs.

The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has been torched for the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (89%) to RBs this year (89.0%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is implied by the Ravens being a 4.5-point favorite this week.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Ravens to pass on 50.1% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Chiefs, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 27.2 per game) this year.

Gus Edwards profiles as one of the worst pass-catching RBs this year, averaging a lowly 0.7 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 16th percentile among RBs.

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