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Gus Edwards

Gus Edwards Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Baltimore Ravens vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Gus Edwards Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+139/-194).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +159 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +139.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Ravens are predicted by the projections to call 66.1 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • Gus Edwards's 27.0% Route Participation% this year shows a substantial gain in his passing attack workload over last year's 9.6% mark.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens grades out as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year.
  • Gus Edwards grades out as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL among RBs, catching an exceptional 100.0% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 100th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Ravens are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Baltimore Ravens as the 8th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.7% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Gus Edwards ranks as one of the worst pass-game running backs this year, averaging a measly 0.8 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 19th percentile among RBs.
  • As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Miami's group of safeties has been exceptional this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.

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