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Gus Edwards Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-260/+180).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -175 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -260.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Ravens are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.Opposing offenses have averaged 39.3 pass attempts per game versus the 49ers defense this year: 4th-most in football.Gus Edwards's 26.8% Route Participation% this season illustrates a meaningful progression in his passing attack workload over last season's 9.6% figure.The Ravens O-line grades out as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing attack stats across the board.Gus Edwards rates as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL among RBs, hauling in a fantastic 100.0% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 100th percentile.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The predictive model expects the Ravens to be the 10th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 57.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.The model projects the Ravens to run the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.With a mere 0.8 adjusted receptions per game (20th percentile) this year, Gus Edwards ranks as one of the bottom RB receiving threats in the league.As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, San Francisco's unit has been exceptional this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the league.
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