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Gus Edwards
NFL · Player Props
Gus Edwards
RB · Baltimore Ravens
Receptions
Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 12, 2023 Updated Nov 27, 2023 1:26 AM UTC
NFL Props Gus Edwards Receptions

Gus Edwards Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-260/+190).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -250 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -260.

Favors Over
  • The Baltimore Ravens boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.6% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are projected by the projection model to call 66.5 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The Chargers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.5 per game) this year.
  • Gus Edwards's 29.7% Route% this year indicates a noteworthy growth in his passing offense workload over last year's 9.6% rate.
  • The Baltimore Ravens O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing game statistics across the board.
Favors Under
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Ravens are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard approach.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 53.9% of their opportunities: the 9th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • With a feeble 0.8 adjusted receptions per game (19th percentile) this year, Gus Edwards rates among the worst pass-catching running backs in the NFL.
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