Gus Edwards Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Gus Edwards

NFL · Player Props

Gus Edwards

RB · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 30, 2023 12:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Gus Edwards Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Ravens offensive blueprint to lean 3.2% more towards the passing attack than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Todd Monken now calling the plays.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Gus Edwards's 30.2% Route Participation% this season signifies a noteworthy gain in his passing attack usage over last season's 9.6% figure.
When talking about pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Ravens grades out as the 9th-best in the league this year.
This year, the shaky Arizona Cardinals pass defense has conceded a massive 87.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 6th-worst rate in the NFL.

Favors Under

With a 9.5-point advantage, the Ravens are a huge favorite this week, implying much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Ravens to pass on 51.8% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
The model projects the Ravens offense to be the 6th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.13 seconds per snap.
With a lackluster 6.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (25th percentile) this year, Gus Edwards stands among the bottom RBs in the pass game in the NFL.

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