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Gus Edwards Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/-105).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -115.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Our trusted projections expect the Ravens offensive blueprint to lean 3.2% more towards the passing attack than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Todd Monken now calling the plays.This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.Gus Edwards's 30.2% Route Participation% this season signifies a noteworthy gain in his passing attack usage over last season's 9.6% figure.When talking about pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Ravens grades out as the 9th-best in the league this year.This year, the shaky Arizona Cardinals pass defense has conceded a massive 87.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 6th-worst rate in the NFL.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 9.5-point advantage, the Ravens are a huge favorite this week, implying much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Ravens to pass on 51.8% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.The model projects the Ravens offense to be the 6th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.13 seconds per snap.With a lackluster 6.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (25th percentile) this year, Gus Edwards stands among the bottom RBs in the pass game in the NFL.
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