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Gus Edwards

Gus Edwards Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 21

Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs

Gus Edwards Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-145/+115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to have 133.4 plays on offense run: the highest number among all games this week.

Gus Edwards has been more involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (26.0% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (9.6%).

In regards to air yards, Gus Edwards grades out in the lofty 88th percentile among RBs this year, accruing a massive 2.0 per game. (because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more noteworthy than it appears since most RBs average negative air yards).

The Baltimore Ravens O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

With a remarkable 92.0% Adjusted Catch% (76th percentile) this year, Gus Edwards stands as one of the best possession receivers in the NFL among running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is implied by the Ravens being a 4.5-point favorite this week.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Ravens to pass on 50.1% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Chiefs, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 27.2 per game) this year.

Gus Edwards comes in as one of the bottom RBs in the pass game this year, averaging just 6.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 25th percentile when it comes to RBs.

The Kansas City Chiefs defense has given up the 3rd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 22.0) vs. running backs this year.

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