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Gus Edwards

Gus Edwards Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Gus Edwards Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 137.0 total plays run: the most out of all the games this week.
  • Gus Edwards has been more involved as a potential target this season (26.4% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (9.6%).
  • In regards to air yards, Gus Edwards ranks in the lofty 88th percentile among running backs this year, averaging an impressive 2.0 per game. (because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more noteworthy than it sounds since most RBs have negative air yards).
  • When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens grades out as the 4th-best in football this year.
  • With a stellar 100.0% Adjusted Catch% (100th percentile) this year, Gus Edwards has been as one of the most reliable receivers in football when it comes to running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Ravens being a big 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to be the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 49.8% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 15-mph being called for in this game) usually prompt lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air attack volume, and increased run volume.

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