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Gus Edwards

Gus Edwards Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Baltimore Ravens vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Gus Edwards Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Ravens are predicted by the projections to call 66.1 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • Gus Edwards's 27.0% Route Participation% this year shows a substantial gain in his passing attack workload over last year's 9.6% mark.
  • When it comes to air yards, Gus Edwards grades out in the towering 88th percentile among running backs this year, averaging a whopping 2.0 per game. (due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more noteworthy than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).
  • When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens grades out as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year.
  • Gus Edwards grades out as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL among RBs, catching an exceptional 100.0% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 100th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Ravens are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Baltimore Ravens as the 8th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.7% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • This year, the tough Dolphins defense has given up a mere 28.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing running backs: the 9th-best in the league.
  • As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Miami's group of safeties has been exceptional this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.

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