Gus Edwards Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Gus Edwards

NFL · Player Props

Gus Edwards

RB · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Gus Edwards Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing teams have averaged 39.4 pass attempts per game versus the Jaguars defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
Gus Edwards's 27.3% Route Participation% this year illustrates a substantial boost in his passing offense utilization over last year's 9.6% figure.
When it comes to air yards, Gus Edwards ranks in the lofty 88th percentile among running backs this year, accruing a colossal 2.0 per game. (given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more impressive than it appears since most RBs have negative air yards).
The Ravens O-line grades out as the best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
With an outstanding 100.0% Adjusted Completion Rate (100th percentile) this year, Gus Edwards places among the most sure-handed receivers in the league when it comes to running backs.

Favors Under

This week's spread indicates a running game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 4 points.
The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 3rd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 50.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 4th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.09 seconds per play.
As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Jacksonville's LB corps has been excellent this year, projecting as the 10th-best in football.

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