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Gus Edwards

Gus Edwards Carries
Player Prop Week 7

Baltimore Ravens vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Gus Edwards Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread indicates a running game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 3 points.
  • The model projects the Ravens as the most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 50.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • The projections expect Gus Edwards to earn 13.7 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Out of all RBs, Gus Edwards grades out in the 76th percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 35.2% of the workload in his offense's running game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens offensive approach to lean 2.2% more towards the passing attack than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Todd Monken now calling the plays.
  • Right now, the 9th-slowest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Ravens.
  • The Detroit Lions linebackers project as the 4th-best LB corps in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

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