Gus Edwards Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Gus Edwards

NFL · Player Props

Gus Edwards

RB · Baltimore Ravens

Carries

Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 27, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Gus Edwards Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 3-point advantage, the Ravens are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard approach.
The leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens as the 9th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 46.1% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are projected by the projection model to call 66.5 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.
The Los Angeles defensive ends profile as the 2nd-worst group of DEs in the NFL this year with their run defense.

Favors Under

The Baltimore Ravens boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.6% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
Gus Edwards has been much more involved in his team's offense this year, staying on the field for 44.4% of snaps compared to just 26.4% last year.

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