Gus Edwards Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Gus Edwards

NFL · Player Props

Gus Edwards

RB · Baltimore Ravens

Carries

Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 11:21 PM EST

Analysis

Gus Edwards Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-121/-119).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Ravens are a big 9.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 2nd-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 48.5% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Ravens to call the 7th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Houston Texans linebackers project as the worst group of LBs in football since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

Favors Under

The Baltimore Ravens will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.5% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

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