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Gunner Olszewski Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+106/-140).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -140.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.5 plays per game.This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.The Atlanta Falcons defense has yielded the 7th-most receiving yards per game in football (176.0) to wideouts this year.The Atlanta Falcons cornerbacks rank as the 8th-worst collection of CBs in football this year in pass coverage.The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in the NFL). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat production.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-least plays run on the slate this week at 125.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.Gunner Olszewski has been not been very involved his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of just 1.2% this year, which places him in the 5th percentile among wideouts.Gunner Olszewski has compiled a measly 4.0 air yards per game this year: just 6th percentile among WRs.Gunner Olszewski has been among the bottom WRs in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 11.0 yards per game while grading out in the 9th percentile among WRs.The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line has afforded their QB a mere 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
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