Gunner Olszewski Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Gunner Olszewski

NFL · Player Props

Gunner Olszewski

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 29, 2022 12:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Gunner Olszewski Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+112/-154).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ +112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.5 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Gunner Olszewski to be much more involved in his offense's passing game this week (6.3% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (1.3% in games he has played).
Gunner Olszewski has notched quite a few more receiving yards per game (14.0) this year than he did last year (2.0).
The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has struggled when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 5.96 yards-after-the-catch this year: the most in the NFL.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 61.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 5th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: least in football.
Gunner Olszewski has totaled a paltry 4.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 9th percentile among WRs.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has surrendered the least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 104.0) vs. WRs this year.

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