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Greg Dulcich

Greg Dulcich Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Greg Dulcich Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Greg Dulcich has run a route on 80.3% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 94th percentile among tight ends.
  • THE BLITZ projects Greg Dulcich to earn 4.2 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 81st percentile among tight ends.
  • Greg Dulcich has been among the best TE receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 3.3 receptions per game while grading out in the 83rd percentile.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers project as the 2nd-worst group of LBs in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Sean Payton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 1.4% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • The Broncos are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 54.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-least plays run among all games this week at 125.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Greg Dulcich has been among the worst possession receivers in football among TEs, completing a measly 63.8% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 11th percentile.

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