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Greg Dulcich

Greg Dulcich Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders

Greg Dulcich Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -165 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Denver Broncos to be the 4th-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.81 seconds per play.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may decline.

Greg Dulcich has notched a staggering 16.0 air yards per game this year: 79th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

When talking about pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Denver Broncos grades out as the 8th-best in football this year.

The Raiders pass defense has yielded the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (76.7%) versus TEs since the start of last season (76.7%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Broncos to pass on 54.1% of their plays: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Greg Dulcich rates as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the league among TEs, hauling in just 48.2% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 7th percentile.

Greg Dulcich grades out as one of the least effective pass-catchers in the NFL among TEs, averaging a mere 2.60 adjusted yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 5th percentile.

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