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Greg Dulcich

Greg Dulcich Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Los Angeles Rams vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Greg Dulcich Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-109/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -122.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.9% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Los Angeles Rams safeties profile as the 6th-worst unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Denver Broncos offensive line has afforded their QB 2.68 seconds before the pass (6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • The Denver Broncos have gone up against a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Broncos are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos to be the 4th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 59.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has given up the 8th-lowest Completion% in football (68.5%) vs. TEs this year (68.5%).
  • The Los Angeles Rams defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 4th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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